Anybody else had enough of the AARP's regular "Trends" reports on prescription-drug pricing? I'd been tuning them out, since
the only difference from one report to the next was the date. But Rep. Henry Waxman (D-CA), with his September 2006 analysis
on industry profits since the implementation of Part D, has reignited my interest—and my ire.
Peter J. Pitts
Let's start with AARP.
The first thing to note is that "Trends" relies on a measure of wholesale cost from a proprietary dataset—not the actual prices
paid by cash customers. Patients with insurance (yes, like Part D) don't ever see these prices. America's insured focus their
attention and anger on ever-rising co-pays (which increase many-times-fold the price of the prescription medicines they are,
in theory, linked to).
I think the folks over at Big Insurance (yes, like the AARP) have some explaining to do.
The AARP report also regularly ignores the impact of patent expiration and generic-drug entry on the overall cost of therapy.
It's intellectually dishonest to only focus on a "basket" of on-patent medications while ignoring the cost savings that occur
when patents expire. This is particularly important since 50-percent-plus of all scripts are filled with generics!
In other words, the typical cash-paying senior will experience less than half of the increase the AARP report claims. And
why aren't these people on Part D, anyway? Or is this report only a veiled marketing tool to get more seniors to sign up for
the AARP plan? Just wondering.
And in the spirit of transparency (and we all agree that transparency is a good thing, right?) consider this: The AARP report
is produced by Stephen Schondelmeyer, a well-known critic of Big Pharma and an advocate for the generic-drug industry. And,
speaking of transparency, why doesn't AARP use the dataset available from CMS—a very carefully developed, publicly available
measure of price trends actually faced by consumers? Just wondering.
Now, as to Mr. Waxman, a few comments:
His analysis, written in response to AARP's "reporting" on the subject, claims that since the implementation of Part D, the
net income of Pfizer (our planet's largest pharmaceutical company) grew from $3.7 billion in the first half of 2005 to $6.5
billion in the first half of 2006. A $2.8 billion gain. Wow, right?
Not so much when you consider that Pfizer's second-quarter SEC filing showed that growth was driven by increased interest
earnings of $1.5 billion and $1.1 billion worth of favorable tax provisions. That adds up to $2.6 billion of the $2.8 billion
gain. Not so "wow" after all.
This stuff isn't secret, it's public—and if I can find it then Mr. Waxman is hiring the wrong interns.
(I should also add that, according to Fortune, the pharmaceutical industry is ranked 34th among all industries by growth
and 31st in return to shareholders.)
But wait, there's more ...
Mr. Waxman's report claims that the pharmaceutical industry has reaped a $2 billion windfall from reduced rebates because
of the shift of Medicaid dual-eligibles to Medicare Part D.
Nope. CMS estimates that 2006 Medicare drug plan discounts and rebates will average 27 percent rather than the 15 percent
initially projected. And you know where that rebate money comes from, right?
But the most absurd claim from Henry "Big Soundbite" Waxman is that Big Pharma's ability and willingness to raise prices is
a direct result of Part D and the non-interference clause.
Nope. Consider the facts:
- According to CMS, the average 2007 Medicare-drug-plan premium will be $24, 40 percent lower than the original projection
- Competitive bids submitted to CMS are, on average, 10 percent lower than they were in 2006
- The 2006 Medicare Trustees Report projects 20-percent-lower Part D spending over the coming decade than did the 2005 report.
It must really gall Mr. Waxman that competition (like in private-marketplace competition) really does drive price down and
Me? I actually read Wealth of Nations in my high school AP World History class.
Peter J. Pitts is a former associate commissioner for FDA. He can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org