Overall, the former FDA commissioners stated that the agency’s current actions threaten public trust and undermine a regulatory framework designed to ensure vaccines are safe, effective, and available.
Traditional use of immunobridging vaccine studies abandoned
Specifically, the group reinforced its belief in the FDA’s traditional use of immunobridging studies, which use correlates of protection (antibody responses) as surrogates for efficacy. This approach avoids the need for full-scale efficacy trials for each new strain or formulation.
“Using this approach, once a reliable correlation with effectiveness has been established, a vaccine’s ability to stimulate the immune system to produce protective antibodies can serve as a surrogate for its efficacy in helping patients avoid infections and complications from rapidly evolving viruses such as SARS-CoV-2 and influenza,” they wrote, “Because these viruses change frequently, repeating large-scale efficacy trials for every new seasonal strain is not feasible within the time needed to update the vaccines.”
The former chiefs also expressed skepticism over how the agency connected the 10 deaths to COVID-19 vaccination, calling out Prasad’s use of VAERS data as definitive proof of vaccine harm, and bypassing rigorous clinical evaluation.
“The memo asserts, incorrectly, that ‘we do not have reliable data’ on the benefits of COVID vaccination in children,” the former commissioners wrote. “Reasonable scientists should engage in open debate about how best to shape recommendations for children at lower risk for COVID-19, but substantial evidence shows that vaccination can reduce the risk of severe disease and hospitalization in many children and adolescents.”
Earlier changes to vaccine research by FDA heads
Earlier this year, Prasad and FDA Commissioner, Marty Makary, MD, MPH, called for any new COVID-19 vaccines to undergo testing in placebo-controlled trials in their own NEJM article.
The newly proposed design for these trials included:
- Randomized studies showing clinical outcomes are required for low-risk populations before BLAs, while high-risk groups (e.g., older adults) are exempt.
- Trials must use symptomatic COVID-19 as the primary endpoint, with secondary endpoints of severe disease, hospitalization, and death.
- Studies should show 30% efficacy, include participants with recent prior infection, and provide at least six months of follow-up.
In the NEJM commentary, the former commissioners expressed concern that the memo’s recommendations would raise the approval threshold for vaccines, making development slower, costlier, and more subjective. They added that the requirement of extensive premarket randomized trials for most new products could discourage innovation, hinder the replacement of outdated vaccines, and put in place steep barriers for smaller biotech companies, which could limit competition and ultimately push prices even higher.
“It is important to create a clear, science-driven, and well-reasoned pathway to approval; otherwise, innovators will have no reliable way to design their development programs,” they wrote. “The people most affected by the FDA’s proposed framework will include older Americans and those with weakened immune systems who rely most on the protection that timely and updated vaccines can offer.
“The new approach would also evade public transparency, including long-standing statutory and regulatory mechanisms that enable disagreements about benefit–risk balance, clinical trial end points, trial design, and data analysis to be aired in public.”
Industry insight
In anticipation of a potential shift in the regulatory framework around vaccine trials, Applied Clinical Trials previously spoke with Krinx Kong, chief commercial officer, Cognivia, to gain insight.
In a video interview, Kong explained: “Now, if a policy shift were to mandate placebo use in all vaccine trials, even where active comparators might be more appropriate, we'd likely see significant impacts on both design complexity and timelines. First, ethics boards may push back. If an effective vaccine already exists, withholding it in favor of placebo could be viewed as unethical. This leads to delays, extra review cycles, and potential public concern.”
He continued: “Next, placebo-controlled designs often require longer follow ups, which can prolong timelines by months or even years. Lastly, these designs are frequently more difficult to recruit for, patients and parents may be reluctant to participate if there's a genuine chance of receiving no active protection. If policy does shift, having tools that can adapt trial design without compromising data integrity or patient trust will be essential.”
References
1. Robert M Califf, MD, Andrew C von Eschenbach, MD, Michael A Friedman, MD, Brett P Giroir, MD, Scott Gottlieb, MD, Margaret A Hamburg, MD, Jane E Henney, MD, David A Kessler, MD, Mark B McClellan, MD, PhD, Stephen M Ostroff, MD, Norman E Sharpless, MD, and Janet Woodcock, MD. A Threat to Evidence-Based Vaccine Policy and Public Health Security at the FDA. N Engl J Med. December 3, 2025. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp2517497. https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMp2517497
2. FDA official plans to change vaccine approval process, claiming that Covid-19 shots caused child deaths. CNN. November 29, 2025. https://www.cnn.com/2025/11/29/politics/vaccine-approval-process-fda-official