Currently, less than 10% of drugs reportedly make it from inception to launch, and unless these few drugs are financially successful, dollars invested in innovation and pharmaceutical research will most definitely decline—potentially substantially. The fact is: money chases returns, in any economy and in any market.
The practice of medicine is an act of service to the most vulnerable, and so the idea of profit from a medicine or treatment can and does make many uncomfortable and may seem contradictory. That said, much of the returns are funneled back into more research and better therapies.
Pharma companies and the high cost of drugs are easy sound bites and targets for politicians seeking to appeal to the public. It resonates! But the public doesn’t really understand the extraordinary complexities of the industry, and the companies come off as self-serving or tone-deaf when trying to explain it.
The fact is, an investor would not take a high-risk bet without the expectation that there was the potential and a path to a high return, and they certainly wouldn’t do it repeatedly if proven wrong over time. There is probably not a higher risk or a longer duration for expectation of return than an investment in an early-stage biopharma asset.
Investors need as much predictability as possible, and, here, the FDA has been and appears to be appreciably lacking.
While no one can predict success or failure at the start of a decade-long process, there are some avoidable uncertainties that the new US leadership in Congress and the Trump administration must eliminate to the benefit of all.
In 1992, Congress passed the Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA), which requires the FDA to complete its review process within 10 months of the acceptance of a company’s filing for approval. Yet in practice, PDUFA dates can get extended or delayed without warning—and these can happen sometimes due to little matters such as FDA staff turnover or vacation time. Preventable delays of PDUFA dates should be simply unacceptable. The FDA must adhere to and perform within the PDUFA timelines—or Congress must step in and do it for them.
There are simple ways to accomplish this. The FDA could simply require touchpoints with a company ahead of its PDUFA date, forbid delays in the final 100 days before a PDUFA date, or impose penalties for lack of performance. Investors in the companies awaiting FDA approvals for new drugs are expecting an approval or an action, perhaps unfavorable, but, nonetheless, within an expected timeline. When that doesn’t happen, stocks can often suffer substantial damage.
A PDUFA delay might sound like a small problem, but the consequences can be severe and far-reaching. A surprise delay could result in millions of dollars in additional investments and could tank a promising treatment if investors get spooked and refuse to fund the company going forward.
Another initiative that the FDA could take would be to expand the use of adaptive trial designs, conditional approvals for high-need indications, and real-world evidence to inform benefit-risk assessments. These steps would maintain rigorous standards while reducing uncertainty for both investors and patients and reduce the costs of development, which are the key drivers of the cost of therapies in the marketplace.
Congress should not wait for the FDA’s scheduled reauthorization in 2027. Congress and FDA leadership need to seize this moment of opportunity and new leadership to accelerate pharmaceutical innovation in the US. A rethought, predictable, innovation-enabled, realistic, and practical regulatory framework is not just pro-investor—it is pro-patient. The future of medicine depends on it. No time like the present.
About the Author
Barbara Ryan has been a Pharmaceutical Executive Editorial Advisory Board member since 2015. After a more than 30-year career as a sell-side pharmaceutical analyst on Wall Street, Ryan founded Barbara Ryan Advisors in 2012 to offer senior strategic communications counsel, investor relations services, fundraising, and M&A support to the C-suite of a wide range of life sciences companies.